Natural capital assets:
Drivers of environmental change:
Likely response | Effect of variability on services provision | Human action or natural variation | Timescale | Spatial Characteristics |
---|---|---|---|---|
Damage protective vegetation. | Poor vegetation cover. Damage protective vegetation. | Human action | Short term | Local |
Climate change driven rising temperatures, changes in rainfall patterns and an increase in extreme weather events threatens fodder crop production. | Models suggest substantial risks to the volume, volatility, and quality of animal feed supply chains despite some gains in productivity. | Human action | Long-term | Global |
Rising temperatures and changing rainfall patterns creates the risk of crop failure, e.g. the 2010 Russian heatwave and the 2012 US Midwest drought. | Decreasing yields of cereals, contributing to higher food prices and a greater demand than supply. | Human action | Long-term | Global |
Damage protective vegetation. Loss of cover due to event induced tree throw. Scalding removes topsoil. | Reduction of erosion control. | Human action or Natural variation | Short-Long term | Global |
Drought displaces or reduces populations of biota. Also reduces thickness of soil water films and inhibits enzymes. | Disturbance of biotic and abiotic factors poses environmental constraints that can temporarily or indefinitely affect decomposition sensitivity. | Human action | Short-Long term | Local-Global |
Likely response | Effect of variability on services provision | Human action or natural variation | Timescale | Spatial Characteristics |
---|---|---|---|---|
There will be a reduction in plant based fibre material post fire and during recovery period. | Imbalances in the fire cycle caused by extreme weather such as drought can create severe fires which affect provision of fibre and other plant based materials. | Natural variation | Long-term | Global |
Damage protective vegetation. Loss of cover due to event induced tree throw. Scalding removes topsoil. | Reduction of erosion control. | Human action or Natural variation | Short-Long term | Global |
Likely response | Effect of variability on services provision | Human action or natural variation | Timescale | Spatial Characteristics |
---|---|---|---|---|
Loss of cover due to event induced tree throw. Wave action generated by winds. | Damage protective vegetation. | Natural variation | Short term | Global |
Climate change driven rising temperatures, changes in rainfall patterns and an increase in extreme weather events threatens fodder crop production. | Models suggest substantial risks to the volume, volatility, and quality of animal feed supply chains despite some gains in productivity. | Human action | Long-term | Global |
Rising temperatures and changing rainfall patterns creates the risk of crop failure, e.g. the 2010 Russian heatwave and the 2012 US Midwest drought. | Decreasing yields of cereals, contributing to higher food prices and a greater demand than supply. | Human action | Long-term | Global |
Damage of protective vegetation and watersheds. | Saturates ecosystem, reduced water storage capacity. | Human action | Short-Long term | Global |
Wave action generated by wind and intense storms damages plants and cause changes in hydrology. | Loss or damage of vegetation can cause reduction in sediment retention capacity. Storm induced tree throw exposes soil and triggers erosion. | Natural variation | Short term | Local |
Likely response | Effect of variability on services provision | Human action or natural variation | Timescale | Spatial Characteristics |
---|---|---|---|---|
Earth movements, alteration of slope steepness, slope length and slope morphology. | Increased soil break up and vulnerability to water erosion. The speed of runoff increases on steep slopes, which increases the power of water to break off and carry soil particles. | Natural variation | Short term | Local |
Earth movements, alteration of slope steepness, the speed of runoff increases on steep slopes, which increases the power of water to break off and carry soil particles. | Increase soil break up and vulnerability to water erosion. | Natural variation | Short term | Local |
Increased or decreased water flows through landscapes | Increased or decreased water balances within landscapes | Natural variation | Short term | Local-Regional |
Likely response | Effect of variability on services provision | Human action or natural variation | Timescale | Spatial Characteristics |
---|---|---|---|---|
Habitat degradation and loss of plant species, thus reducing the number of plants available to perform phyto-remediation. | Decreased ability of plants to perform phyto-remediation. | Human action | Short term | Local |
Land use change alters sediment supply causing state change in asset | Carbon burial in marine sediments is reduced; carbon emissions increased | Human action | Short term | Coastal ecosystems |
Deforestation reduces tree density and diversity | Evapotranspiration decreases, more ground surface exposed increasing albedo and climate warming | Human action | Medium term | Tropics |
Conversion of wetlands for commercial purposes and resource extraction leads to loss of regional climate regulating function. | Conversion of wetlands causes the average temperature to increase by 0.77?C in all four seasons. | Human action | Medium term | Global |
Forests converted to cultivated land causes removal of above ground biomass. | Increase in carbon emissions. | Human action | Short term | Tropical forests |
Deforestation, reduction in vegetation cover | Decreases stability and resistance of topsoil. No barriers for buffering and attenuation. | Human action | Short-Mid-term | Local |
Deforestation, reduction in vegetation cover | Decreases stability and resistance of top-soil. Reduction of erosion control. | Human action | Short-Mid-term | Local |
Forest edges opened up, exposing humans to new diseases from previously uncontacted pathogens | Service provision weakens as there are no factors present for the regulation of the disease transmission cycle | Human action | Short term | Developing countries |
Deforestation, road construction, agricultural encroachment, dam building, irrigation, coastal zone degradation, wetland modification, mining, and urbanisation | Complex and interlinked response in asset-service system. Interruption of the natural regulation of habitat for disease hosts results in increased exposure of humans to infectious disease | Human action | Short-Long term | Global |
Higher water turbidity (from sediment loading) leads to decreased light availability for photosynthesis. | There has been a loss of canopy-forming algae (up to 70 %) on parts of the Adelaide metropolitan coast since major urbanisation. | Human action | Long term | Coastal ecosystems |
The transition from natural to artificial coastal habitat dramatically changes species diversity while overall species abundance remains the same | Changes in species diversity will alter habitat composition and could introduce unwanted effects for marine algae such as increase in predators or diseases. This will reduce the quantity and quality of quality of algal-based agricultural materials. | Human action | Medium term | Global |
The supply of wood for pulp and wood ash is decreasing as a result of deforestation and unsustainable logging. | Timber plantations expand into natural forests. Models suggest deforestation over degradation in response to market demands resulting in eventual exhaustion of the supply. | Human action | Short term | Global |
There is a strong impact of land use on species composition. For example human land uses and secondary vegetation in an early stage of recovery are poor at retaining the species that characterise pristine (untouched) vegetation. | This loss can impact on fibre production (e.g., cotton) and other wild sourced fibres as land is consumed for other uses. | Human action | Short-Mid-term | Global |
There is a strong impact of land use on species composition. For example human land uses and secondary vegetation in an early stage of recovery are poor at retaining the species that characterise pristine (untouched) vegetation. | This loss can impact on animal material production and as agricultural land is consumed for other uses. | Human action | Short-Mid-term | Global |
Reduction in the habitats available to perform filtration and sequestration. | Decreased ability to perform filtration and sequestration of pollutants at the ecosystem level (e.g. resulting from draining of key habitats such as wetlands, raised and blanket bogs; and from reclamation of marine habitats such as saltmarshes). | Human action | Short term | Local |
Reduction or complete destruction of vegetation cover, modification of hydrological regime. | Damage and loss of protective vegetation reduces flood attenuation capacity. Changes in river flow alter extent, duration and frequency of floodplain inundation. | Human action | Short-Mid-term | Local |
Freshwater diversion from estuarine areas | Habitat loss leads to disruption of connectivity between spawning, nursery and adult stage habitats. | Human action | Short-Mid-term | Local-Regional |
Changes in intensity and extension. | Vegetation alteration can degrade or cause loss of service. | Human action | Short term | Local |
Changes in intensity and extension. | Type of land use determine types of disturbance (tillage, agrochemicals, fertilizers, excrements, etc.) and changes soil properties and water flow rates. | Human action | Short term | Local |
Increase in non-native species | Changes in habitat characteristics facilitate non-native species which can outcompete native species creating more opportunities for pests. | Human action | Long term | Global |
Changes to the way water flows through landscapes | Increased or decreased availability of water at the local and landscape level. | Human action | Short term | Local |
Likely response | Effect of variability on services provision | Human action or natural variation | Timescale | Spatial Characteristics |
---|---|---|---|---|
Affects health of ecosystems, alters ocean currents and changes biotic communities. | Warming and acidification ocean creates thermal stress (e.g. coral bleaching), sea level rise, sedimentation, Altered ocean currents lead to changes in connectivity and temperature regimes. Ocean acidification leads to a reduction in pH levels and decreases growth rates. | Human action or Natural variation | Short-Long term | Local-Regional-Global |
Coral reef calcification slows due to acidification, affecting the rate of growth. | Loss, degradation or growth reduction of coral reefs and mangroves diminishes storm surge (flood) attenuation capacity, and water storage. | Human action | Mid-Long term | Global |
Rising atmospheric CO2 lowers concentrations of seawater carbonate and reduces calcium carbonate production by corals. | Bleaching and calcification cause mortality and increased coral erosion rates. | Human action | Short-Mid-term | Global |
Likely response | Effect of variability on services provision | Human action or natural variation | Timescale | Spatial Characteristics |
---|---|---|---|---|
Increase in freshwater due to melting of ice caps linked to climate change leads to weakening or collapse of the ocean thermohaline circulation. | Air-sea carbon uptake substantially reduced. | Human action | Long term | Global |
Breakdown in thermohaline circulation caused by rapid glacial melting and influx of freshwater to oceans. | Rapid climate cooling and loss of regional climate regulating function. | Human action | Long-term | Regional seas and smaller regions of ocean |
Affects health of ecosystems, alters ocean currents and changes biotic communities. | Warming and acidification ocean creates thermal stress (e.g. coral bleaching), sea level rise, sedimentation, Altered ocean currents lead to changes in connectivity and temperature regimes. Ocean acidification leads to a reduction in pH levels and decreases growth rates. | Human action or Natural variation | Short-Long term | Local-Regional-Global |
Likely response | Effect of variability on services provision | Human action or natural variation | Timescale | Spatial Characteristics |
---|---|---|---|---|
Surface area of coastal habitats reduced by rising sea level. | Removal of organic component of coastal sediments and their burial. Loss of carbon sink. | Human action | Long term | Coastal ecosystems |
Coastal wetlands and other ecosystems experience large losses. | Loss of coastal habitats and upward and landward movement of flooding risk zones. | Human action | Mid-Long term | Global |
Affects health of ecosystems, alters ocean currents and changes biotic communities. | Warming and acidification ocean creates thermal stress (e.g. coral bleaching), sea level rise, sedimentation, Altered ocean currents lead to changes in connectivity and temperature regimes. Ocean acidification leads to a reduction in pH levels and decreases growth rates. | Human action or Natural variation | Short-Long term | Local-Regional-Global |
Likely response | Effect of variability on services provision | Human action or natural variation | Timescale | Spatial Characteristics |
---|---|---|---|---|
Loss of cover due to event induced tree throw. Wave action generated by winds. | Damage protective vegetation. | Natural variation | Short term | Global |
Detrital material produced by storms caused annual erosion of two species of kelp of between 0.5 and 1.7 kg dry weight per m2. Erosion rate was positively related to water temperature and site exposure. | Increased erosion of kelp blades by storms. Increased storm frequency will lead to removal of the kelp component and reduction in overall standing biomass. | Human action | Long-term | Marine kelp forests in mid-latitude systems |
Increased erosion of kelp blades due to increased storm frequency, linked to global climate change | Greater destruction through mechanical breakup of the kelp component and reduction in overall standing biomass. Detrital material produced by storms caused annual erosion of two species of kelp of between 0.5 and 1.7 kg dry weight per m2 . Erosion positively related to water temperature and site exposure. | Human action | Long-term | Marine kelp forests in mid-latitude systems |
Loss of cover due to event induced tree throw. Damage of protective vegetation. | Reduction of storm attenuation capacity. | Human action | Short-Long term | Global |
Affects health of ecosystems, leads to altered ocean current and water runoff changes. | Changes in storm patterns leads to destruction of structures. Changes in precipitation create increases in runoff of freshwater, and land based pollutants. | Human action or Natural variation | Short-Long term | Local-Regional-Global |
Wave action generated by wind and intense storms damages plants and cause changes in hydrology. | Loss or damage of vegetation can cause reduction in sediment retention capacity. Storm induced tree throw exposes soil and triggers erosion. | Natural variation | Short term | Local |
Likely response | Effect of variability on services provision | Human action or natural variation | Timescale | Spatial Characteristics |
---|---|---|---|---|
Rainfall intensity | Risk as heavy raindrops on bare soil causes soil surface to seal increasing erodibility. Increased soil break up and vulnerability to water erosion. | Natural variation | Short term | Local |
Rainfall intensity | Risk as heavy raindrops on bare soil causes soil surface to seal increasing erodibility. | Natural variation | Short term | Local |
Species (of pathogens or their hosts) range shifts due to change in climate conditions | Usual predator-prey relationships change and harmful species can spread into areas where they are not predated on | Human action | Long term | Global |
Permafrost (frozen soil layer) melting due to higher average annual temperatures | Methane gas bubbles trapped in soil released as it melts, increasing emissions to the atmosphere, exacerbating the warming effect in the short term and causing a positive feedback in the long term as warming continues to melt permafrost releasing more methane. | Human action | Long term | High latitudes |
Climatic anomalies (e.g. ENSO) create deficits and excesses in temperature and precipitation. | Regulation of regional climate is heavily impacted, e.g. an El Niño is associated with warm and very wet weather months in April–October causing major flooding in southern hemisphere countries such as Peru and Ecuador. | Natural variation | Long-term | Regional |
Climate change driven rising temperatures, changes in rainfall patterns and an increase in extreme weather events threatens fodder crop production. | Models suggest substantial risks to the volume, volatility, and quality of animal feed supply chains despite some gains in productivity. | Human action | Long-term | Global |
Rising temperatures and changing rainfall patterns creates the risk of crop failure, e.g. the 2010 Russian heatwave and the 2012 US Midwest drought. | Decreasing yields of cereals, contributing to higher food prices and a greater demand than supply. | Human action | Long-term | Global |
Climate anomalies cause changes to the photosynthetic cycle and global greening patterns. | There is a quantitative link between climate anomalies such as the El Nino Southern Oscillation and weather events. There is evidence of reduced vegetation greenness during ENSO events in sub-tropical parts of the southern hemisphere impacting fibre provision. | Natural variation | Medium term | Semi-arid vegetation in the southern hemisphere |
Increased or decreased functioning of habitats within ecosystems | Increased or decreased ability of habitats to perform filtration, sequestration, storage, and/or accumulation of pollutants within ecosystems. | Natural variation | Short term | Regional-Global |
Damage of protective vegetation and watersheds. | Reduction of flood attenuation capacity. | Human action | Short-Long term | Global |
Alters conditions: temperature, humidity, rainfall. | Climatic conditions affect air pollution levels and absorption by vegetation. Climate changes may alter vegetation. Droughts may cause disruption of water for sound attenuation. | Human action or Natural variation | Short-Mid-term | Global |
Alteration of biochemical and chemical reactions. | Biochemical and chemical reactions involved in decomposition and fixation processes are temperature dependent and have high temperature sensitivity. | Human action | Short-Long term | Global |
More unstable precipitation patterns and increases in global temperature. | Increases or decreases in water balance at a local and regional scale | Human action | Short term | Global |
Increases or decreases in the amount of rainfall and solar energy available on a regional/local basis. | Increased or decreased water balances within landscapes. | Natural variation | Short term | Regional |
Likely response | Effect of variability on services provision | Human action or natural variation | Timescale | Spatial Characteristics |
---|---|---|---|---|
Strong wave action by boats | Coastal systems such as mangrove forests could be damaged. | Human action | Short term | Local |
Land use change alters sediment supply causing state change in asset | Carbon burial in marine sediments is reduced; carbon emissions increased | Human action | Short term | Coastal ecosystems |
Industrial activities and construction cause land use change and exposes upper soil layer resulting in loss of soil organic carbon. | Soil drainage increases aeration. Soil microorganism respiration rates therefore increase. Soil no longer accumulates soil organic carbon but becomes CO2 source. | Human action | Short term | Global |
Coastal systems such as mangrove forests could be damaged. | Reduction of storm attenuation capacity. | Human action | Short term | Local |
Water quality, depth, turbidity, salinity and nutrient changes will lead to changes in plant community structure and health, and decreases or disappearance of biotic communities and habitat health and complexity. | Habitat loss leads to disruption of connectivity between spawning, nursery and adult stage habitats. Displacement or local extinction of adult populations, disrupting spawning patterns. Sedimentation due to shipping activity reduces light penetration, settlement success, survival, and diversity of habitats such as coral. | Human action | Short term | Local |
Strong wave action by boats. Loss of sand through mining, development and coastal structures. Disturbance of vegetation. | Damage of coastal ecosystems such as mangrove forests and loss of dunes and natural beaches results in reduction of sediment retention and erosion control. | Human action | Short term | Local |
Likely response | Effect of variability on services provision | Human action or natural variation | Timescale | Spatial Characteristics |
---|---|---|---|---|
The sealing of soils by urban construction in urban areas modifies the local climate. | Vegetation no longer regulates climate, leading to even higher temperatures. | Human action | Short term | Urban areas |
Likely response | Effect of variability on services provision | Human action or natural variation | Timescale | Spatial Characteristics |
---|---|---|---|---|
Habitat degradation and reduction or interruption of algal species’ ability to perform bio-remediation. | Decreased bio-remediation due to decreased ability of algae to perform bio-remediation. | Human action | Short term | Local |
Excess nutrient loads and sunlight cause imbalances in micro algae concentrations. Harmful toxins produced by the bloom kill beneficial cyanobacteria. | Any services arising from the algae will be diminished or stopped. | Human action | Short term | Global |
Reduction in the ability of habitats to filter or capture pollutants. | Decreased filtration, adsorption, or accumulation of pollutants at the ecosystem level. | Human action | Short term | Local |
Habitat loss due to overfertilization and toxics contamination | Habitat loss due to clouding of coastal waters by sediment from run-off and toxics which leads to contamination. | Human action | Short-Mid-term | Local-Regional |
Alters conditions: temperature, humidity, rainfall | Pollution may alter presence and conditions of urban and suburban vegetation, may diminish plants’ capacity of gas absorption. | Human action | Short-Mid-term | Global |
Microbiota are sensitive to metal pollution. Toxicity of heavy metals displaces exchangeable nutrients from binding sites. | Pollution inhibits litter decomposition. Decomposition is sensitive to pollution and metals contaminants at the microbial level. Metal pollution also makes plant matter difficult to decompose. May lead to algal blooms. | Human action | Short-Long term | Local-Global |
Suppressed rainfall in highly polluted areas due to reduced efficiency of clouds at releasing precipitation. | Decreased water balance and disrupted hydrological cycle in polluted areas | Human action | Short term | Local |
Likely response | Effect of variability on services provision | Human action or natural variation | Timescale | Spatial Characteristics |
---|---|---|---|---|
Caused an annual 1% decline in phytoplankton in worlds’ oceans. | Less carbon absorbed by phytoplankton for photosynthesis. | Human action | Short term | Global |
Cyclic and fatally bleached sponge tissues had lower chlorophyll a concentrations than non-bleached tissues. | Sponge pieces incubated at 30°C in a lab show mortality after less than 15 hours with impacts on medicinal compound provision. | Human action | Medium term | Warm water coral reef ecosystems |
Drivers of environmental change:
Likely response | Effect of variability on services provision | Human action or natural variation | Timescale | Spatial Characteristics |
---|---|---|---|---|
Loss of cover due to event induced tree throw. Wave action generated by winds. | Damage protective vegetation. | Natural variation | Short term | Global |
Wave action generated by wind and intense storms damages plants and cause changes in hydrology. | Loss or damage of vegetation can cause reduction in sediment retention capacity. Storm induced tree throw exposes soil and triggers erosion. | Natural variation | Short term | Local |
Alters biological soil community, structural properties of parent material by exposure to water. | Changes soil’s environment and modifies processes. | Human action | Long term | Local |
Likely response | Effect of variability on services provision | Human action or natural variation | Timescale | Spatial Characteristics |
---|---|---|---|---|
Displaces or reduces population of biota. Also reduces thickness of soil water films and inhibits enzymes. | Disturbance of biotic and abiotic factors pose environmental constraints that can temporarily or indefinitely affect decomposition sensitivity. Changes soil’s environment, modifying processes. | Human action | Long term | Local |
Likely response | Effect of variability on services provision | Human action or natural variation | Timescale | Spatial Characteristics |
---|---|---|---|---|
Earth movements, alteration of slope steepness, slope length and slope morphology. | Increased soil break up and vulnerability to water erosion. The speed of runoff increases on steep slopes, which increases the power of water to break off and carry soil particles. | Natural variation | Short term | Local |
Earth movements, alteration of slope steepness, the speed of runoff increases on steep slopes, which increases the power of water to break off and carry soil particles. | Increase soil break up and vulnerability to water erosion. | Natural variation | Short term | Local |
Likely response | Effect of variability on services provision | Human action or natural variation | Timescale | Spatial Characteristics |
---|---|---|---|---|
Diversion of drainage furrows, waterways, dam by washes, etc. | Run-off concentration. Increase soil break up and vulnerability to erosion leading to loss of service. | Human action | Short-Mid-term | Local |
Increase slope length and/or steepness | Slope increase causes increase in speed, power and depth of the runoff carrying more soil with it. Influence nature of the soil making it more susceptible to erosion. | Human action | Short-Mid-term | Local |
Deforestation, loss of biological community. | Alters biological, mechanical and chemical weathering processes. Type of land use determines type of disturbance (tillage, agrochemicals, fertilizers, excrements, etc.) changes soil properties. | Human action | Long term | Local |
Likely response | Effect of variability on services provision | Human action or natural variation | Timescale | Spatial Characteristics |
---|---|---|---|---|
Strong wave action by boats | Coastal systems such as mangrove forests could be damaged. | Human action | Short term | Local |
Strong wave action by boats. Loss of sand through mining, development and coastal structures. Disturbance of vegetation. | Damage of coastal ecosystems such as mangrove forests and loss of dunes and natural beaches results in reduction of sediment retention and erosion control. | Human action | Short term | Local |
Likely response | Effect of variability on services provision | Human action or natural variation | Timescale | Spatial Characteristics |
---|---|---|---|---|
Displaces or reduces population of biota. Also reduces thickness of soil water films and inhibits enzymes. | Disturbance of biotic and abiotic factors pose environmental constraints that can temporarily or indefinitely affect decomposition sensitivity. Changes soil’s environment, modifying processes. | Human action | Long term | Local |
Drivers of environmental change:
Likely response | Effect of variability on services provision | Human action or natural variation | Timescale | Spatial Characteristics |
---|---|---|---|---|
Displaces or reduces population of biota. Also reduces thickness of soil water films and inhibits enzymes. | Disturbance of biotic and abiotic factors pose environmental constraints that can temporarily or indefinitely affect decomposition sensitivity. Changes soil’s environment, modifying processes. | Human action | Long term | Local |
Likely response | Effect of variability on services provision | Human action or natural variation | Timescale | Spatial Characteristics |
---|---|---|---|---|
Damage protective vegetation. | Poor vegetation cover. Damage protective vegetation. | Human action | Short term | Local |
Damage protective vegetation. Loss of cover due to event induced tree throw. Scalding removes topsoil. | Reduction of erosion control. | Human action or Natural variation | Short-Long term | Global |
Drought displaces or reduces populations of biota. Also reduces thickness of soil water films and inhibits enzymes. | Disturbance of biotic and abiotic factors poses environmental constraints that can temporarily or indefinitely affect decomposition sensitivity. | Human action | Short-Long term | Local-Global |
Likely response | Effect of variability on services provision | Human action or natural variation | Timescale | Spatial Characteristics |
---|---|---|---|---|
Damage protective vegetation. Loss of cover due to event induced tree throw. Scalding removes topsoil. | Reduction of erosion control. | Human action or Natural variation | Short-Long term | Global |
Likely response | Effect of variability on services provision | Human action or natural variation | Timescale | Spatial Characteristics |
---|---|---|---|---|
Loss of cover due to event induced tree throw. Wave action generated by winds. | Damage protective vegetation. | Natural variation | Short term | Global |
Wave action generated by wind and intense storms damages plants and cause changes in hydrology. | Loss or damage of vegetation can cause reduction in sediment retention capacity. Storm induced tree throw exposes soil and triggers erosion. | Natural variation | Short term | Local |
Alters biological soil community, structural properties of parent material by exposure to water. | Changes soil’s environment and modifies processes. | Human action | Long term | Local |
Likely response | Effect of variability on services provision | Human action or natural variation | Timescale | Spatial Characteristics |
---|---|---|---|---|
Earth movements, alteration of slope steepness, slope length and slope morphology. | Increased soil break up and vulnerability to water erosion. The speed of runoff increases on steep slopes, which increases the power of water to break off and carry soil particles. | Natural variation | Short term | Local |
Earth movements, alteration of slope steepness, the speed of runoff increases on steep slopes, which increases the power of water to break off and carry soil particles. | Increase soil break up and vulnerability to water erosion. | Natural variation | Short term | Local |
Likely response | Effect of variability on services provision | Human action or natural variation | Timescale | Spatial Characteristics |
---|---|---|---|---|
Land use change alters sediment supply causing state change in asset | Carbon burial in marine sediments is reduced; carbon emissions increased | Human action | Short term | Coastal ecosystems |
Wetland drainage and peat harvesting causes land use change and exposes upper soil layer resulting in loss of soil organic carbon. | Wetland drainage increases soil aeration. Soil microorganism respiration rates therefore increase. Wetlands no longer accumulate soil organic carbon but become CO2 sources. | Human action | Short term | Global |
Diversion of drainage furrows, waterways, dam by washes, etc. | Run-off concentration. Increase soil break up and vulnerability to erosion leading to loss of service. | Human action | Short-Mid-term | Local |
Diversion of drainage furrows, waterways, dam by washes, etc. | Run-off concentration. Increased soil break up and vulnerability to water erosion. | Human action | Short-Mid-term | Local |
Alters water flow, rock structure, topographic characteristics which alter soil composition | Changing decomposition and fixation processes. | Human action | Long term | Local |
Alters water flow and availability, and rock structure and topographic characteristics which alter soil composition. | Changing decomposition and fixation processes | Human action | Short term | Local |
Likely response | Effect of variability on services provision | Human action or natural variation | Timescale | Spatial Characteristics |
---|---|---|---|---|
Strong wave action by boats | Coastal systems such as mangrove forests could be damaged. | Human action | Short term | Local |
Land use change alters sediment supply causing state change in asset | Carbon burial in marine sediments is reduced; carbon emissions increased | Human action | Short term | Coastal ecosystems |
Industrial activities and construction cause land use change and exposes upper soil layer resulting in loss of soil organic carbon. | Soil drainage increases aeration. Soil microorganism respiration rates therefore increase. Soil no longer accumulates soil organic carbon but becomes CO2 source. | Human action | Short term | Global |
Strong wave action by boats. Loss of sand through mining, development and coastal structures. Disturbance of vegetation. | Damage of coastal ecosystems such as mangrove forests and loss of dunes and natural beaches results in reduction of sediment retention and erosion control. | Human action | Short term | Local |
Likely response | Effect of variability on services provision | Human action or natural variation | Timescale | Spatial Characteristics |
---|---|---|---|---|
Changes soil properties | Changes soil water retention properties thus increases susceptibility to water or wind erosion. | Human action | Short-Mid-term | Local |
Addition of organic or inorganic matter results in changes in diversity in the soil and the microbial composition. | Alters matter composition and microbial community structure which in turn affects decomposition rate. | Human action | Short-Long term | Local-Global |
Likely response | Effect of variability on services provision | Human action or natural variation | Timescale | Spatial Characteristics |
---|---|---|---|---|
Timber and wood harvesting leads to a reduction in standing timber biomass and exposes upper soil layer. | Soil organic carbon declines rapidly under cultivation, e.g. woodland conversion results in soil degradation, erosion and loss of organic matter, diminishing the soil potential to sequester carbon. | Human action | Long term | Global |
Stump and root harvesting as a source of woody biomass for bioenergy generation leads to soil disturbance. | Stump harvesting causes existing soil organic carbon to become mineralised, leading to carbon loss as carbon dioxide, e.g. 1 tonne carbon per hectare per year might be lost compared with sites undisturbed by stump harvesting operations. | Human action | Short term | Global |
Likely response | Effect of variability on services provision | Human action or natural variation | Timescale | Spatial Characteristics |
---|---|---|---|---|
Microbiota are sensitive to metal pollution. Toxicity of heavy metals displaces exchangeable nutrients from binding sites. | Acid rain and pollution, acidity in air, etc. alters weathering agents in the environment (water, soil, air). | Human action | Long term | Local-Global |
Microbiota are sensitive to metal pollution. Toxicity of heavy metals displaces exchangeable nutrients from binding sites. | Pollution inhibits litter decomposition. Decomposition is sensitive to pollution and metals contaminants at the microbial level. Metal pollution also makes plant matter difficult to decompose. May lead to algal blooms. | Human action | Short-Long term | Local-Global |
Likely response | Effect of variability on services provision | Human action or natural variation | Timescale | Spatial Characteristics |
---|---|---|---|---|
Caused an annual 1% decline in phytoplankton in worlds’ oceans. | Less carbon absorbed by phytoplankton for photosynthesis. | Human action | Short term | Global |
Likely response | Effect of variability on services provision | Human action or natural variation | Timescale | Spatial Characteristics |
---|---|---|---|---|
Loss of cover due to event induced tree throw. Wave action generated by winds. | Damage protective vegetation. | Natural variation | Short term | Global |
Wave action generated by wind and intense storms damages plants and cause changes in hydrology. | Loss or damage of vegetation can cause reduction in sediment retention capacity. Storm induced tree throw exposes soil and triggers erosion. | Natural variation | Short term | Local |
Likely response | Effect of variability on services provision | Human action or natural variation | Timescale | Spatial Characteristics |
---|---|---|---|---|
Rainfall intensity | Risk as heavy raindrops on bare soil causes soil surface to seal increasing erodibility. Increased soil break up and vulnerability to water erosion. | Natural variation | Short term | Local |
Rainfall intensity | Risk as heavy raindrops on bare soil causes soil surface to seal increasing erodibility. | Natural variation | Short term | Local |
Precipitation increase associated with higher soil organic carbon content. Temperature is negatively associated | Variation in weather conditions impacts the amount of soil organic carbon stored in upper soil layers. | Natural variation | Short term | Global |
Alteration of biochemical and chemical reactions. | Biochemical reactions involved in decomposition and fixation processes are temperature dependent and have high temperature sensitivity. Low temperatures cause slow rates of chemical weathering and rely on physical processes. Warmth favours chemical weathering over physical, leading to deeper weathering. | Human action | Long term | Global |
Alteration of biochemical and chemical reactions. | Biochemical and chemical reactions involved in decomposition and fixation processes are temperature dependent and have high temperature sensitivity. | Human action | Short-Long term | Global |